Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.004173 0.004580 0.005018 0.005525 0.006097 0.006725 0.007469
2025-08-31 0.003399 0.003944 0.004572 0.005354 0.006310 0.007450 0.008927
2025-09-07 0.003017 0.003630 0.004369 0.005337 0.006587 0.008170 0.010360
2025-09-14 0.002821 0.003497 0.004345 0.005503 0.007071 0.009164 0.012240
2025-09-21 0.002563 0.003251 0.004140 0.005396 0.007163 0.009624 0.013425
2025-09-28 0.002353 0.003045 0.003961 0.005294 0.007234 0.010042 0.014581
2025-10-05 0.002209 0.002912 0.003866 0.005291 0.007435 0.010654 0.016099
2025-10-12 0.002119 0.002843 0.003848 0.005393 0.007792 0.011533 0.018158
2025-10-19 0.001988 0.002706 0.003724 0.005321 0.007869 0.011970 0.019526
2025-10-26 0.001888 0.002606 0.003641 0.005303 0.008024 0.012544 0.021211
2025-11-02 0.001782 0.002489 0.003525 0.005221 0.008063 0.012920 0.022576
2025-11-09 0.001719 0.002432 0.003496 0.005272 0.008326 0.013710 0.024857
2025-11-16 0.001633 0.002339 0.003408 0.005228 0.008433 0.014253 0.026787
2025-11-23 0.001529 0.002211 0.003259 0.005071 0.008328 0.014394 0.027911
2025-11-30 0.001464 0.002141 0.003196 0.005055 0.008473 0.015030 0.030229
2025-12-07 0.001439 0.002132 0.003231 0.005210 0.008950 0.016380 0.034465
2025-12-14 0.001367 0.002043 0.003128 0.005110 0.008929 0.016705 0.036296
2025-12-21 0.001301 0.001961 0.003031 0.005015 0.008907 0.017022 0.038170
2025-12-28 0.001257 0.001911 0.002987 0.005012 0.009069 0.017759 0.041308
2026-01-04 0.001232 0.001893 0.002995 0.005108 0.009439 0.019014 0.046177
2026-01-11 0.001182 0.001830 0.002921 0.005040 0.009461 0.019463 0.048832
2026-01-18 0.001143 0.001784 0.002875 0.005023 0.009590 0.020183 0.052488
2026-01-25 0.001098 0.001725 0.002802 0.004947 0.009579 0.020558 0.055155